Global Head of Prediction Market
Michael Page
Hong Kong
Full time
Permanent
On-site
Competitive
About the job
- Aligns data-driven decision making across operations.
- Build platform, drive engagement, ensure accurate forecasting
The company leverages prediction markets to improve forecasting accuracy, enhance decisions, drive innovation, and align global teams with data-driven insights.
Job Description
- Design and Lead Prediction Market Strategy
Develop the overall vision, use cases, and roadmap for internal or external prediction markets aligned with business goals. - Build and Manage the Platform Ecosystem
Oversee the development or integration of prediction market platforms (e.g., forecasting tools, token systems, or trading interfaces). - Data Analysis & Insight Generation
Analyze market outcomes, participant behavior, and prediction accuracy to generate actionable business insights. - Model Governance & Risk Management
Ensure prediction models and market mechanisms are fair, ethical, compliant, and resistant to manipulation. - Stakeholder Collaboration
Work closely with product, data science, risk, legal, and executive teams to identify high-impact forecasting opportunities. - User Engagement & Incentive Design
Design participation frameworks (rewards, gamification, token incentives) to drive high-quality user engagement. - Monitor Market Performance
Track liquidity, participation rates, forecast accuracy, and overall market health; iterate mechanisms accordingly. - Regulatory & Compliance Oversight
Ensure adherence to financial, data privacy, and gambling-related regulations (depending on jurisdiction and market design).
- Strong Background in Data Science, Economics, or Finance
Proven experience in statistical modeling, forecasting, behavioral economics, or financial markets. - Experience with Market Design or Trading Systems
Familiarity with prediction markets, exchanges, DeFi platforms, or algorithmic trading environments. - Leadership & Strategic Thinking
Ability to build and lead cross-functional teams and drive innovation in a fast-growing, ambiguous environment. - Technical Understanding
Knowledge of APIs, data pipelines, blockchain (if relevant), or platform architecture to collaborate effectively with engineering teams. - Analytical & Decision-Making Skills
Strong ability to interpret complex data, manage uncertainty, and translate predictions into business strategy.
Good exposure in a tech-enable firm