The Beginning of the End of Hong Kong?

Posted by Ed 5 mths ago

Almost 200 politicians and legislators from 23 countries issued a joint statement criticizing China’s plans to impose a sweeping national security law in Hong Kong, and warned that it could spark more protests in the city, Radio and Television Hong Kong reported.

Signatories included Hong Kong’s last colonial governor, Chris Patten, and former British foreign secretary Malcolm Rifkind, as well as five U.S. senators, and lawmakers from Europe, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, New Zealand, Canada and Australia, according to the report.

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Ed 5 mths ago
A coalition of 191 parliamentarians and policymakers from 23 countries have issued a statement condemning Beijing’s “unilateral introduction of national security legislation in Hong Kong,’ and calling for sympathetic governments to unite against this ‘flagrant breach of the Sino-British Joint Declaration.”
The initiative was led by the former governor of Hong Kong Chris Patten, and the former UK Foreign Secretary Sir Malcolm Rifkind. The list of signatories included ex-prime ministers, foreign secretaries, defence ministers, as well as legal and human rights experts and diplomats.

Lord Patten of Barnes said: “The statement shows growing and widespread international outrage at the decision by the Chinese government to unilaterally impose national security legislation in Hong Kong.

The breadth of support, which spans all political parties and four continents, reflects both the severity of the situation and ongoing unified international support for the principle of one-country, two-systems.”

Ex-British foreign secretary and patron for NGO Hong Kong Watch, Sir Malcolm Rifkind said: “This is the most serious threat to the people of Hong Kong that there has been from the Chinese Government since 1997.  The people of Hong Kong need, and deserve, our support.”

Read More 

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Ed 5 mths ago 
What is going on in Carrie Lam’s mind? 
As Hong Kong’s Chief Executive Carrie Lam declares her unswerving support to implement the draconian China national security law unilaterally imposed on Hong Kong, one has to wonder what goes on in her mind as she looks at herself in the mirror.

What happened to this person who was born, grew up and was educated in and benefited from the open civil society of Hong Kong, attended elite local secondary school and university majoring in sociology, and is a serious practising Catholic inculcated with all the Christian values and beliefs?
She was trained at taxpayers’ expense in Cambridge where she met her husband who has a British passport, and she had her two sons educated at Cambridge – also holding British passports. How can she be co-opted to an extent that is totally contrary to her personal experience and the values espoused in the environment and company around her?
How ironic in that she willingly participates in a regime to enforce the stripping of the values and principles that Hongkongers value. Values that are also enshrined in the spirit of Great Britain, that her husband and two sons must subscribe to as citizens of that country.
Let me answer on behalf of Lam.   
She is no different than the NBA (and loads of other businesses, individuals and governments) in that she benefits from not rocking the boat.   
And she understands that rocking the boat has no upside for her.  Like politicians the world over, she'd be tossed out of office if she didn't follow the party line. 

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Ed 5 mths ago
What to expect now US deems Hong Kong no longer autonomous

“One being the state department making the assessment that Hong Kong no longer enjoys autonomy,” he told reporters, referring to US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s statement earlier in the day.


“And then, [the second action will be] the determination by the White House as to how we’re going to respond,” he said.

A revocation of Hong Kong’s special trading status with the US will put an end to the preferential economic and trade treatment the city has enjoyed and which has, at least partly, contributed to making it the financial and business hub in the region.
Hong Kong has been an oasis of rule of law in a sea of corruption.   
That is why major corporations maintain there HQs in Hong Kong instead of Shenzhen, or Shanghai, or Jakarta.   
Hong Kong is where agreements are signed because corporations understand that the judiciary is fair.
Strip away rule of law and Hong Kong is another polluted, congested - expensive - city in China.  With constant simmering and sometimes explosive civil unrest.
Boring Singapore surely is beginning to look more appealing by the day. 

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Ed 5 mths ago
Donald Trump says US to end Hong Kong trade privileges after seeing it is no longer autonomous from China
The US government will begin eliminating special policy exemptions it grants Hong Kong, following its determination earlier this week that the city is “no longer autonomous” from mainland China, President Donald Trump announced on Friday.
The move will affect “the full range of agreements” the US has with Hong Kong, Trump said in the Rose Garden at the White House, including its extradition treaty with the city and economic privileges enshrined in US law that differentiate it from mainland China.
“We will take action to revoke Hong Kong’s preferential treatment as a separate customs and travel territory from the rest of China,” said Trump, indicating that the State Department’s travel advisory for the city would be updated “to reflect the increased danger of surveillance and punishment by the Chinese state security apparatus”. 
The US would also take steps to sanction Chinese and Hong Kong officials “directly or indirectly involved in eroding Hong Kong’s autonomy”, he said, echoing the language of legislation enacted in November that requires a punitive response from the executive branch in such circumstances. 

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Ed 5 mths ago
US may open doors to Hongkongers in response to national security law
Asked about welcoming people from city to ‘come here and bring their entrepreneurial creativity’, Secretary of State Pompeo says Washington is ‘considering it’.
UK could offer 'path to citizenship' for Hong Kong's British passport holders
The UK could offer British National (Overseas) passport holders in Hong Kong a path to citizenship if China does not suspend plans for a security law in the territory, Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab says.

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Ed 5 mths ago 
US to sell its HK4 Billion Hong Kong property portfolio as US-China tensions rise
The U.S. government is selling its property in one of the most exclusive neighborhoods in Hong Kong, a State Department representative said in an email.

The decision comes as protests continue to rock Hong Kong and tensions rise between the U.S. and China over new Beijing-backed national security legislation in the city.

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Ed 5 mths ago
Hong Kong Downward Spiral Imminent?
Hong Kong’s independence is what makes it attractive and why it is a wellspring of fearless go-getters. Rob that, and Hong Kong is no more.
Concerns of it becoming just another Chinese city such as Shenzhen or Shanghai have been aired privately or publicly since protests began nearly a year ago, as in this Skift story, What If Hong Kong Falls?, in August 2019. However, the US is the first to openly say it’s not a “what if” but has happened.

Hong Kong has become a “political football,” said Marco Förster, senior associate at Dezan Shira, a pan-Asia firm that guides foreign companies on establishing and growing their business in the region.
“What is to be feared is, this will contribute further to Hong Kong’s trip along the downward spiral and there will be an exodus of business,” said Förster. “If firms see that China’s heavier presence in the city is interfering with fair arbitration, they will look for alternatives, especially when there are fitting ones in the region such as Singapore.
Many business leaders who were still hesitant about the idea of relocating their Asia-Pacific headquarters might now finally make the move.” 

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Ed 5 mths ago
Brain Drain

‘Never seen that before’: Some Hong Kong residents hit the panic button as security law revives rush for the emigration gates
Immigration consultants have fielded hundreds of new calls since China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) unveiled the controversial plan on May 21, bypassing the local legislature
 Some are accelerating their decision to buy property overseas, while others are cutting their asking price for local properties.
“We’re seeing a four to fivefold increase in cases,” said Hu, founder and principal consultant of John Hu Migration Consulting. “Now they see the urgency. They ask the question, which type of visa has the shortest processing time?” 

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Ed 5 mths ago
Boris Johnson vows overhaul of visa system to accommodate Hongkongers under national security law
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has promised Hongkongers “one of the biggest changes in our visa system in British history” if Beijing pushes through the national security law, he wrote in an op-ed published in the South China Morning Post and The Times of London on Wednesday.
In his first direct message to the former British colony amid the recent political furore, Johnson acknowledged that “many people in Hong Kong fear their way of life … is under threat” since the National People’s Congress proposed the law last month.
“If China proceeds to justify their fears, then Britain could not in good conscience shrug our shoulders and walk away; instead we will honour our obligations and provide an alternative,” Johnson said.
“Britain would … have no choice but to uphold our profound ties of history and friendship with the people of Hong Kong.”
Under the new British government plan – which will be put in place when Beijing formally enacts the law – every one of the 3 million Hongkongers who qualify for a British National (Overseas) passport and their dependents could relocate to the United Kingdom to stay and work or study for extendable periods of 12 months, creating a path to citizenship. 

A stripped car comes to mind.... 

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Ed 5 mths ago 
Boris Johnson - For Hongkongers fearing for their way of life, Britain will provide an alternative 

Hong Kong succeeds because its people are free. They can pursue their dreams and scale as many heights as their talents allow. They can debate and share new ideas, expressing themselves as they wish. And they live under the rule of law, administered by independent courts.


With their abilities thus released, Hong Kong’s people have shown they can achieve almost anything. They have prospered hand in hand with China’s economic renaissance; today their home is one of the richest cities in the world and hundreds of mainland companies have chosen to list on the Hong Kong stock exchange.

 So China has a greater interest than anyone else in preserving Hong Kong’s success. Since the handover in 1997, the key has been the precious concept of “one country, two systems”, enshrined in Hong Kong’s Basic Law and underpinned by the Joint Declaration signed by Britain and China.

This guarantees Hong Kong’s “high degree of autonomy” with only limited exceptions such as foreign affairs, defence or in a state of emergency. The declaration adds: “The current social and economic systems in Hong Kong will remain unchanged, and so will the life style” including essential “rights and freedoms”.

Yet last month, the National People’s Congress in Beijing decided to
impose a national security law on Hong Kong
, which would curtail its freedoms and dramatically erode its autonomy.
If China proceeds, this would be in direct conflict with its obligations under the Joint Declaration, a legally binding treaty registered with the United Nations.

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Ed 5 mths ago
Senators Push ‘Unprecedented’ Sanctions on China Over Hong Kong

A Senate Republican who’s sponsoring legislation to penalize banks that work with Chinese officials moving to crack down on dissent in Hong Kong said his bill would bring “unprecedented” action to the issue.

Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania said his bill “penalizes the banks that choose to finance the erosion of Hong Kong’s autonomy and put marginal profits ahead of basic human rights.”

Toomey said the measure would be “be an unprecedented action toward the Chinese Communist officials and it is intended to create obstacles to that aggression -- obstacles that the leadership in Beijing has not encountered before.”

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Ed 5 mths ago
Lawmakers in Eight Countries Form New Alliance to Counter China

A group of senior lawmakers from eight democracies including the U.S. have launched a new cross-parliamentary alliance to help counter what they say is the threat China’s growing influence poses to global trade, security and human rights.

The Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, which launched Friday, comes as the U.S. struggles to muster a cohesive alliance to take on China’s growing economic and diplomatic clout and as it leads foreign governments in condemning Beijing’s move to impose national security legislation on Hong Kong that threatens the city’s autonomy.


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Ed 5 mths ago
Aviva Investors 'uneasy' over HSBC, StanChart backing for Hong Kong security law
LONDON (Reuters) - Aviva Investors, a leading shareholder in both HSBC (HSBA.L) and Standard Chartered (STAN.L), said on Tuesday it was “uneasy” about the companies’ decision to back a new security law in Hong Kong.
Aviva Investors’ Chief Investment Officer, Equities, David Cumming said both had done so without knowing the details of the law or how it will operate in practice. 

“If companies make political statements, they must accept the corporate responsibilities that follow,” Cumming said.

“Consequently, we expect both companies to confirm that they will also speak out publicly if there are any future abuses of democratic freedoms connected to this law.”

Aviva Investors is a top-20 investor in both HSBC and Standard Chartered, data from Refinitiv shows.

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Ed 5 mths ago
Dreaming of Singapore 
Executives at many American multinationals in Hong Kong are starting to dream of large, inexpensive apartments....  teargas and smog-free air..... stability... good schools...  rule of law.... 
And this is before the US government makes good on its threats to strip Hong Kong of its trading and financial privileges which would effectively force major financial institutions to relocate their head offices. 
Hong Kong (CNN Business)American executives in Hong Kong are nervous about the city's future as a center for global business. For the minority already considering a Plan B, though, Singapore might be the only realistic option.

More than 50 respondents to a recent survey conducted by the American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) in Hong Kong said they were considering moving capital, assets or business operations to "other locations" after Beijing approved plans for a national security law for Hong Kong. The law will be drafted over the next two months and its implementation will bypass the city's legislature.
The law bans sedition, secession and subversion against Beijing and allows Chinese state security to operate in Hong Kong, but it's not yet clear exactly what it would mean for business: Even the city's top officials have offered few details on how it would work.
But its existence has drawn ire from Western countries like the United States, which has threatened to end a special economic and trading relationship with Hong Kong. Beijing's encroaching authority in the semi-autonomous city has also sparked fears about whether more restrictive measures could be introduced that would affect Hong Kong's tax structure and open regulatory environment for foreign companies.
While only 180 AmCham members took the survey — about 15% of the organization's membership — the responses suggest that alternatives to Hong Kong are on the table for dozens of companies. AmCham said its respondents listed several relocation options, including Singapore, Sydney, Tokyo, Bangkok and Taipei.

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Ed 5 mths ago
China in brace position as Five Eyes form united front
China is bracing for a stronger pushback from the Five Eyes intelligence alliance, as its members unite to tackle an increasingly assertive Beijing together, observers said.
Georgina Downer, principal of geopolitical and strategic advisory firm Tenjin Consulting, said there were clear signs of concerted action by the five members.
“We are definitely seeing growing cooperation between Five Eyes nations on their response to China, evidenced by their swift issuing of a joint statement on Hong Kong and announcement of a Five Eyes economic dialogue to coordinate the production of strategic goods,” Downer said.
“The swiftness of the change in policy in the UK over 5G and agreement among Five Eyes nations to establish a D10 of democratic and like-minded countries to cooperate on 5G technology is another good example of how China’s aggressive diplomacy has quickly aligned Five Eyes nations’ strategic thinking about Chinese investments in critical infrastructure.”
She added that there was now a “concerted and much more open effort among Five Eyes to focus on economic cooperation around countries with shared values and strategic thinking”. 
“The Five Eyes is thinking if they were to respond individually to China they are going to get robbed. So to have any traction with Beijing they will have to coordinate their response, because what China is doing is being coercive, playing one off against another,” Blaxland said. 

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Ed 5 mths ago
EU plans dialogue with the US to deal with China’s ‘growing assertiveness’
EU foreign policy chief’s suggestion comes just days ahead of Monday’s EU-China summit, amid an ensuing lack of commitment by Beijing on widening market access
His proposal was a surprise to some, as his recent blog post seemed to suggest that the EU would not form a transatlantic alliance with the US on China
Here's what really happened.   
The men who pull the strings in the US heard about Josep Borrell's comments regarding China the other day and they emailed him this: 
Pompeo then followed with a phone call threatening to rip Borrell's entrails from his body and feed them to the pigs if he doesn't retract.
Borrell, quickly took out his cloth and offered to change course and shine Pompeo's shoes.

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Ed 5 mths ago
The Expat Exodus Gains Momentum...
Robert Chipman, chief executive for Hong Kong with the global relocation service Asian Tigers Group, said he saw a spike in interest early this year as people made decisions to leave after eight months of political unrest and the onset of the coronavirus outbreak.

Chipman is concerned that further protests may not only push more foreigners to the exits, but also persuade some who are weighing a move to Hong Kong to avoid the city -- putting its future as an expat enclave at risk.

“If people feel Hong Kong is not a safe place, and there’s civil unrest, even the whisper about that will keep people out,” Chipman said. “On the civil unrest, I don’t see the light at the end of the tunnel there. There’s deep-seated emotions.”
A survey conducted June 1 and June 2 by the American Chamber of Commerce in Hong Kong found 38% of about 180 members who participated were personally considering leaving in light of the new national security law. And about 30% said the law is causing their companies to look at moving assets including capital and business operations to other locations.
Joel, a former trader who until recently was based in Hong Kong and who declined to provide his full name, began making plans to leave the city in November after a taxi in which his wife and children were riding was flanked by protesters and police nearby were firing tear gas. The experience shook the family and he hunted for an alternative, settling on Singapore.
“In a calm world, it’s good to be in an exciting place like Hong Kong,” he said. “In a turbulent world, you want to be in a stable place like Singapore.”
Other issues such as the high cost of living in Hong Kong are also a factor. Hong Kong retained its crown as the most expensive city in the world for expats, according to the latest survey from global consultancy Mercer. Rival Singapore fell two spots to fifth.

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Ed 4 mths ago
EU presses China over trade, warns on Hong Kong law 
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Union told China on Monday to make good on a promise to open up its economy and warned of “very negative consequences” if Beijing goes ahead with a new security law on Hong Kong that the West says will curtail basic rights.

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Ed 4 mths ago
Huawei loses out to Nokia, Ericsson in building Singapore’s main 5G networks
Chinese telecommunications equipment giant Huawei lost out to Nokia and Ericsson in building Singapore’s main 5G networks.

Local telcos were given the final approval on Wednesday by the country’s regulator, Infocomm Media Development Authority (IMDA), to start building the two nationwide networks. They were provisionally selected in April and had to complete the regulatory process.
The UK pulled the plug on Huawei recently... and now Singapore has gone with the competition...  there might be a pattern emerging here....

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Ed 4 mths ago
An Ominous Development?
The US government is selling its portfolio of HK properties worth over 40 billion HKD.    Most of the properties were purchased while Hong Kong was a British Colony.
Now why would the US government be selling now?   

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Ed 4 mths ago
U.S. announces end of Hong Kong's special status
The United States has revoked Hong Kong's special trading status, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross announced in a statement Monday.

"With the Chinese Communist Party’s imposition of new security measures on Hong Kong, the risk that sensitive U.S. technology will be diverted to the People’s Liberation Army or Ministry of State Security has increased, all while undermining the territory’s autonomy.

Those are risks the U.S. refuses to accept and have resulted in the revocation of Hong Kong’s special status."
As a result, the Commerce Department said that "regulations affording preferential treatment to Hong Kong over China, including the availability of export license exceptions, are suspended."
Ross also said that "further actions to eliminate differential treatment are also being evaluated" and urged Beijing to "immediately reverse course and fulfill the promises it has made to the people of Hong Kong and the world."
Did I mention that the American government is unloading its entire HK property portfolio... 

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Ed 4 mths ago
National security law: US ends exports of defence equipment and restricts dual-use tech to Hong Kong
The United States will stop exporting defence equipment to Hong Kong because of Beijing’s pending implementation of a national security law, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced on Monday.
As China moves forward with the national security law, which is expected to pass this week, “we can no longer distinguish between the export of controlled items to Hong Kong or to mainland China”, Pompeo said in a statement.
“The Chinese Communist Party’s decision to eviscerate Hong Kong’s freedoms has forced the Trump administration to re-evaluate its policies toward the territory,” Pompeo said. The US “is forced to take this action to protect US national security”.
Previously, Hong Kong had enjoyed special privileges that allowed it to import American defence equipment that Beijing did not have. It was also able to import dual-use technologies without the licences required when the same items were sold to mainland China.
“We cannot risk these items falling into the hands of the People’s Liberation Army, whose primary purpose is to uphold the dictatorship of the [Chinese Communist Party] by any means necessary,” he said. 
This not giving me that 'Monaco of Asia' feeling.... 
Let's revisit the Hong Kong thesis.  
What makes Hong Kong (and Singapore....) different from Shenzhen?   Or Shanghai?  Or Manila?  Or Jakarta?  
Rule of Law :   the restriction of the arbitrary exercise of power by subordinating it to well-defined and established laws. 
It's not the the nightlife, the international feel, the shopping or the entrepreneurial spirit.  NONE of those would exist in their present form without Rule of Law.
And Hong Kong's special trade status is also a product of Rule of Law.   To reiterate, Hong Kong has been an OASIS of stability in an ocean of corruption.  
Strip away Rule of Law and the rest will follow (and head to Singapore?) 

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Ed 4 mths ago
Australia Takes Aim at China
Australia’s anti-foreign interference laws are being tested for the first time, two years after their passage amid warnings of “unprecedented” espionage, amid a probe that has seen authorities raid the homes and offices of a China-friendly state MP and his former staffer.
Searches by the Australian Federal Police (AFP) last week on properties connected to New South Wales Labor MP Shaoquett Moselmane and his former staffer John Zhang have focused scrutiny on Canberra’s sweeping counter-intelligence legislation introduced in 2018 amid fears of interference by Beijing.

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Ed 4 mths ago
The Doctrine of Mutual Destruction
In the original telling of David versus Goliath, the smaller David unexpectedly defeats his giant foe with several well-aimed pebble shots to the head. But let’s imagine a different kind of showdown: one in which the underdog, aware of the impossible odds, grips on to the opponent as they wrestle to the death, eventually tumbling off a cliff and crashing down in mutual destruction.

That’s laam caau (攬炒, pronounced “lahm tsow”), the strategy that a sizable fraction of Hong Kong protesters think is the only way they stand a fighting chance against their formidable authoritarian foe, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). 
The phrase, which literally translates to “embrace and fry” in Cantonese, is borrowed from poker to mean making your opponent suffer as much as you do.
Some call it a scorched earth, or an “if we burn, you burn with us” philosophy. At its core, it’s the belief that the existing political framework is so rigged that operating under the current rules of engagement, as dictated by China, will only lead to defeat.
“We have already wasted decades bargaining for our promised freedoms,” said Finn. “Once you realize that there is no way back and the veneer of freedom in the past has peeled off, then taking action is the only real answer.”
Claudia Mo, a pro-democracy lawmaker, is another moderate who said she is increasingly “tilting towards” laam caau—and China’s continued efforts to dismiss all protesters as violent extremists will only draw more Hong Kongers in the same direction, she added. 

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Ed 4 mths ago
Canada Suspends Its Extradition Treaty With Hong Kong, Eyes Immigration Boost
Canada is suspending its extradition treaty with Hong Kong in the wake of new Chinese national security legislation and could boost immigration from the former British colony, top officials said on Friday.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Canada would continue to stand up for Hong Kong, which is home to 300,000 Canadians.

Canada will not permit the export of sensitive military items to Hong Kong, he told reporters.

"We are also suspending the Canada-Hong Kong extradition treaty ... we are also looking at additional measures, including around immigration," he said. He did not give details.

Foreign Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne condemned the "secretive" way the legislation had been enacted and said Canada had been forced to reassess existing arrangements.

"This is a significant step back in terms of freedom and liberty ... we had been hoping Beijing would listen to the international community and reverse course," he said by phone.

German and British leaders also expressed concerns about the new law.

"(There's) a deep reflection in many capitals around the world as to how best to deal with China and its assertiveness," Champagne said.
Read More  
The G7/Five Eyes have stated that their strategy was to form a united front so that they could not be singled out for punishment.   And they are forming a united front as nation after nation goes on the offensive.    

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Ed 4 mths ago
Playing hardball with China works – the west is right to move to a ‘constrainment’ strategy
Global attitudes towards the People’s Republic of China (PRC) are hardening. In 2019, the European Union declared the PRC a “systemic rival” amid rising trade tensions.

In May 2020, the White House published a paper that described the US’s competitive approach to the PRC based on “principled realism”. One of the report’s key passages stated that the US government will: “Respond in kind to Beijing’s transactional approach with timely incentives and costs, or credible threats thereof.”

And on June 5, the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China (IPAC) was formed. Lawmakers from 11 countries, including the US, UK, Australia, Japan and Canada are now working “towards reform on how democratic countries approach China”. They seek to safeguard the rules-based international order, uphold human rights, promote trade fairness, strengthen security and protect national integrity.

All of these developments suggest that western China policy is rapidly changing. What remains unclear, however, is what exact form it will take.
We are beginning to see what form constrainment is taking (see my previous posts). 

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Ed 4 mths ago
Beijing faces a perfect storm as the world turns against its narrative amid rising nationalism, leaving it no room for compromise
In the face of growing global criticism, Beijing may be painting itself into a corner with its narratives, which are fuelling an increasingly angry nativism in China, forcing it to take the dangerous path of doubling down on confrontations
China is heading into a perfect storm on the world stage. While the Communist Party habit is to double down when confronted, others are showing a willingness to match, and top, anything China does. The Covid-19 crisis has provided the perfect cover with China already painted by some as the instigator, something its conspiratorial rhetoric has only exacerbated.
Beijing is out of supporters in Washington. Sinophiles are appalled at the negative human rights news. The harassment of journalists based in Beijing has hardened the foreign press corps against the party. The think tank community is concerned about the continued detention of the two Canadians, Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor.

And the business community has realised the limits of the economic opportunities in China. Even fewer will want to champion Beijing, as the narrative of China as an adversary takes off in the public imagination.

The wind is picking up....

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Ed 4 mths ago
National security law: China won’t be ‘threatened’ but is braced for US financial sanctions, Beijing official says
An editorial on Friday by the Global Times, the tabloid affiliated with the official People’s Daily, warned that China will “play to the end” regardless of any US financial sanctions.
“The US is just threatening to use sanctions that will also hurt itself,” read the editorial. “If the US abuses its hegemony to impose sanctions on a large economy like China, it will also be the death knell for its financial hegemony.
“China’s economic achievements came from the hard work of Chinese people and the advantage of Hong Kong for being a window for China won’t be changed … the future of Hong Kong will ultimately be determined by China, not the United States.”
Actually, the Global Times has it wrong.  The sanctions are not being imposed by the Americans, they are being imposed by multiple powerful countries including the Americans.  
For instance, Huawei has been thrown out of the US and UK markets.  Other non-China tech companies will be more than happy to provide the gear to those countries.  So there is no loss incurred by the UK or US but there is a major loss for a Chinese corporation.
Likewise with India in my earlier post, they have cut the cord across multiple industries banning Chinese companies access to their market.   They are easily replaced.  No loss for India but billions in losses for Chinese companies.
How does one retaliate when you have so many enemies?   If you refuse to buy grain from Australia because they have slighted you, then in theory you could go to Canada, but then Canada is also making offensive comments and taking offensive actions.   
Perhaps you go to the Russians.  But then might not the G7 nations have a word with Putin letting him know that if he does the wrong thing, he'll be in their gun sights next?   
The G7 and Five Eyes have not only advertised their strategy, they are making good on it.  So China can expect more of the same going forward.    
Needless to say, when a nation is cornered like this, it is a very dangerous situation.   

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Ed 4 mths ago
Driving India into US arms is a risk China is willing to take
The incident has provoked fury and hostility across Indian public opinion, with the burning of effigies of President Xi Jinping, the smashing of Chinese-made TV sets by emotional owners and widespread calls to boycott Chinese goods and even Chinese restaurants. Seen from New Delhi, India-China relations are at their lowest ebb in living memory.
India normally has no desire whatsoever to provoke its northern neighbour, which humiliated New Delhi in a brutal border war in 1962 that left China in possession of 23,200 square kilometres of Indian territory. At the same time, Beijing regularly reminds India that it still claims a further 92,000 square kilometres, mainly in the north-eastern Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh.
The Indian approach has been to relegate the problem to the back burner and keep things quiet on the border, enabling trade relations (now worth close to US$100 billion) to flourish.
Then why did the tragedy occur?
You can waste your time and read more
Or you can read my brief explanation:
The G7 and Five Eyes have advertised their intention to confront China and are actively doing so with economic, trade and political sanctions.     
The CCP is accusing the West of meddling in Hong Kong and without a doubt that is correct. 
Pro democracy leaders have held multiple public meetings with US officials since the 2014 protests so who knows what's been going on behind closed doors. 
Now out of nowhere we've got the dead soldiers on the India - China border. 
What has likely happened is the intelligence agencies of the Western powers (lead by the CIA of course), have asked the Indian government to instigate a skirmish with Chinese forces at the border.    
This is a pretext for announcing Indian sanctions on Chinese companies costing them many billions of dollars.
All part of the West's stated agenda of punishing China. 

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Ed 4 mths ago
Like I was saying....
India set to pose growing challenge to China at sea
New Delhi is developing its strategic partnership with the US, Australia and Japan as part of efforts to counter China’s growing influence in the Indian Ocean
Some observers say its relationship with Washington has already developed in a quasi-alliance
India is likely to pose an increased challenge to China at sea following their recent confrontation on land, analysts said.
Last week, the Indian Navy and Japanese Maritime Self-Defence Force held a joint exercise in the Indian Ocean, as part of the nascent “Quad” that also involves the United States and Australia.
India has already held regular bilateral exercises with the other three armed forces and has said it might invite Australia to join the “Malabar” war games it holds with Japan and the US.

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Ed 4 mths ago
Huawei could feel chill wind in Europe if UK decides to block China giant from UK networks
British media reported that the National Cyber Security Centre of GCHQ has decided that US sanctions against Huawei have had a ‘severe’ impact
Britain’s reported plan to phase out Huawei Technologies from its mobile networks from this year raises fresh questions about the Chinese telecom giant’s business prospects in Europe, with Germany set to decide on its rules for 5G network roll-outs after the summer break.
Despite building a reputation for supplying low cost, high quality equipment that has helped it take a lead in new 5G network technology, Huawei is facing a raft of US trade restrictions that many European analysts say could pose a threat to its ability to use only trustworthy components.

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Ed 4 mths ago
France: Another Door Slammed on Huawei
The head of the French cybersecurity agency ANSSI says there would not be a total ban on using equipment from Chinese technology giant Huawei in the roll-out of France's 5G telecommunications network, but that it was urging French firms to avoid using the company.

"What I can say is that there won't be a total ban," Guillaume Poupard told Les Echos newspaper in an interview. "[But] for operators that are not currently using Huawei, we are [encouraging] them not to go for it."
Stay tuned for more retaliatory threats... 

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Ed 4 mths ago
China Arrests Top Xi Critic, Plans Crackdown on Political Foes
Beijing police arrested an outspoken critic of Chinese President Xi Jinping on Monday morning as his administration took steps to crack down on potential threats to the Communist Party stemming from the economic fallout of the pandemic.

Xu Zhangrun, a law professor at Tsinghua University, was taken away by police from his house at a Beijing suburb, according to his friend, Geng Xiaonan, who said she got the information from his domestic helper, his wife and students.
She said she believed Xu’s arrest was linked to a book he published in New York last month, a collection of ten political essays with scathing criticisms of Xi and the Communist Party’s rule.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said he had no information about the arrest when asked during a regular briefing on Monday in Beijing.
As expected, factions within the CCP are emerging that are likely not pleased that the West is punishing China and Chinese corporations.   They are seen as a threat to the Xi regime. 
The purge has begun.  

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Ed 4 mths ago
Another day another mall protest (watch live on that link).    13 months on and the nightmare continues....

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Ed 4 mths ago
The Vice Tightens
Hong Kong police will be authorised to conduct searches at private properties without a warrant, restrict suspects’ movements, freeze their assets, intercept communications and require internet service providers to remove information, as the city’s leader handed more powers to the force for implementing the new national security law.
As of this morning I am still able to access Youtube and watch cat dancing videos.. so all is not lost (yet!) 

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Ed 4 mths ago
Security law: Hong Kong police arrest 8 at ‘blank placard’ silent protest
Dozens of protesters gathered at around 6pm in silence whilst holding blank placards.
The stunt came after the government said that the popular slogan “Liberate Hong Kong; revolution of our times” was illegal.  Watch the Silent Protest
Hong Kong police dispersed a peaceful “blank placard” protest at a Kwun Tong mall on Monday evening, making eight arrests.

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Ed 4 mths ago
Hong Kong national security law: top US diplomat criticises legislation on programme by city’s public broadcaster
He warned that the erosion of Hong Kong’s autonomy by Beijing would undermine the city’s success as an international business hub.
“Hong Kong, to be successful, has to maintain what sets it apart from mainland China and that includes [its] openness, transparency, protection of intellectual property, free expression and all of these attributes that have been the cornerstones of the success of this city,” Smith said.
“You cannot divorce these fundamental freedoms from Hong Kong’s success as an economic hub. In other words, you can’t have one country and two economic and financial systems. Fundamental political and social freedoms are very closely linked to economic success.”

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Ed 4 mths ago
Re-Branding Hong Kong! 
I for one am excited to see how Hong Kong's new 5th tier PR firm (selected after 8  others refused to bid on the USD6.2M campaign) will re-brand this fiasco and attract tourists and businesses to the city.
Perhaps they could reuse this moronic slogan (how many millions did that cost?) and let the world know that now they don't just get a lungful of vicious smog when they step off the plane, if they are lucky they can sample tear gas and pepper spray while they shop on Nathan Road.   
Running with the Water Cannons! 
For the truly adventurous, Hong Kong has its own version of 'Running with the Bulls'   Instead of running with bulls tourists have the opportunity to run from a riot police water cannon as it  fires high pressure blue water laced with pepper spray.   
Been there done that and let me tell you this gets the adrenaline popping!
And if they visit one of our many malls, there will be endless opportunities to capture action shots of riot police clashing people who gather there on a regular basis to chant slogans.  
Global Adrenaline Failed and Failing City Tour 
Perhaps the HKTA can team up with Kabul and Damascus to promote a 3-city global adrenaline tour of these failed and failing cities when this Covid thing ends.  (my idea - I want a 10% royalty on all package sales)
I Got Tear Gassed in Hong Kong T-Shirts (coming soon)
AsiaXPAT will get a piece of the bonanza as we are designing limited edition T-shirts emblazoned with riot scenes and 'I Got Tear Gassed in Hong Kong'   These will be on sale across Hong Kong from August 1.  

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Ed 4 mths ago
Lush Closes it's Flagship Shop in Hong Kong
British company posted an operating loss of US$4.99 million for 2018-2019, and founder Mark Constantine has warned of a further decline because of the pandemic
Companies do not need more than three stores to serve ‘just locals’, analyst says
Lush joins a list of companies reducing their footprint in the city, having been stung by the coronavirus outbreak and Hong Kong’s anti-government protests before that. Gap said last week it was closing five of its eight stores in the city, while lingerie maker Victoria’s Secret shut its flagship store last month, seven years before its lease was to run out.
Earlier in June, Greek jeweller Folli Follie shut all of its shops, while Munich-based luxury brand MCM said it was closing three stores, including a flagship store in Central, out of a total of five by the end of April. 
“In Hong Kong, the playbook has changed,” said Helen Mak, senior director and head of retail services at consultancy Knight Frank. “You might need 10 stores to host 60 million tourists a year, but now the fact is that you only have seven million locals to serve, and no more than three stores will do. Every retail brand, with no exception, will shut its stores.” 
Ed Will Rescue Hong Kong! 
I do declare Lush is acting in haste.   
The HKTA has been in touch after reading my earlier post and they have offered me USD25 million to act as a consultant to assist the 5th tier PR firm with salvaging the international reputation of Hong Kong. 
Recall how Al Zeman 'fixed' Ocean Park?   I will go that one better and use my business acumen, marketing genius, and magic skills to both end the Covid Crisis and then attract millions upon millions of tourists to HK.
You watch, Lush will be begging to get that prime space back and willing to pay double the rent. 

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Ed 4 mths ago
TikTok May Lose Up To $6 Billion As Result Of India Ban; Users Urged To Delete App
TikTok has been under fire before. But make no mistake, this time it’s different—this time it’s worse. That has nothing to do with TikTok and everything to do with China, of course. If you want to build a strong technology brand in Western democracies, this is not a great time to be linked to Beijing. For TikTok, the result is the same, though: Headline calls urging users to delete the app immediately.   More 
The United States is 'looking at' banning TikTok and other Chinese social media apps, Pompeo says
"With respect to Chinese apps on people's cell phones, I can assure you the United States will get this one right too, Laura," he said. "I don't want to get out in front of the President [Donald Trump], but it's something we're looking at."
Washington's top diplomat added that people should only download the app "if you want your private information in the hands of the Chinese Communist Party."
TikTok did not immediately respond to a request from CNN Business for comment.

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Ed 4 mths ago
Microsoft and Zoom suspend data requests from Hong Kong gov’t over national security law concerns

Microsoft and Zoom on Tuesday joined other major internet firms that have stopped considering requests by Hong Kong's government for information on users in the wake of China's imposition of a sweeping new security law.

Microsoft and Zoom said they are pausing consideration of data requests by officials or police in Hong Kong, a precaution also taken by Facebook, Google and Twitter.

"As we would with any new legislation, we are reviewing the new law to understand its implications," Microsoft said in response to an AFP inquiry.


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Ed 4 mths ago
Big Tech’s China Face-Off Risks Sparking Exodus From Hong Kong
Facebook Inc., Google and Twitter Inc. -- all of which are blocked in the mainland -- are now headed toward a showdown with China that could end up making Hong Kong feel more like Beijing.

Hours after Hong Kong announced sweeping new powers to police the internet on Monday night, those companies plus the likes of Microsoft Corp. and Zoom Video Communications Inc. all suspended requests for data from the Hong Kong government.
ByteDance Ltd.’s TikTok, which has Chinese owners, announced it would pull its viral video app from the territory’s mobile stores in the coming days even as President Donald Trump threatened to ban it in the U.S.

Their dilemma is stark: Bend to the law and infuriate Western nations increasingly at odds with China over political freedoms, or simply refuse and depart like Google did in China a decade ago over some of the very same issues.
Much like that seismic event shook the mainland in 2010, Big Tech’s reaction now could have a much wider impact on Hong Kong’s future as a financial hub -- potentially sparking an exodus of professionals and businesses.

“Google is pretty important to people here, and if that’s cut off then it’s really extremely serious,” said Richard Harris, a former director at Citi Private Bank who now runs Port Shelter Investment Management in Hong Kong. “In Hong Kong we don’t know where the boundaries are, and that’s threatening to a lot of business people.”
It would seem that if Google, Facebook, Whatsapp, Youtube, Twitter etc...  refuse to comply, then they will not be permitted to operate in Hong Kong (just as none of them currently operate in the PRC).  
Imagine trying to hire a Millenial (or anyone) in Hong Kong if that happens! 

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Ed 4 mths ago
Social media giants’ reluctance to hand over user data to Hong Kong police in national security cases could prompt the government to block their sites in a worst-case scenario or see them relocate, analysts warned, as the firms presented, for now, a united front against such requests.
Even firms without offices or servers in Hong Kong that refuse to cooperate with police risk getting their representatives in trouble should they visit the city, according to barrister Anson Wong Yu-tat. 

Asked about the social media giants’ declaration they would not assist police for the time being, Zhao Lijian, the Chinese foreign ministry spokesman, stressed on Tuesday that the fundamental interests of Hongkongers would be better protected thanks to the security law.


“When the time comes, the horse will run more joyfully, the stock market will be more dynamic, and the dance will be better. We are full of confidence in the future of Hong Kong. Regarding the specific questions you mentioned, I think time will bring us the final answer,” he said from Beijing.


But Hong Kong IT-sector lawmaker Charles Mok said he believed representatives of overseas internet firms would start weighing whether it was even safe to enter Hong Kong.

“They will be worried and start asking themselves if they will be arrested, even if they are just in transit through Hong Kong,” he said.


Firms that have offices in the city may assess whether it is safe to keep a presence here, he said, now that “there is a knife hanging over their heads”.

These sites have already lost the massive China market because they refuse to abide by mainland laws.   Hong Kong is a flea on the elephants back and the revenue they generate from the city is miniscule.   I am thinking they'll not comply and they will be blocked.

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Ed 4 mths ago
What could the tech companies be forced to do under the new law?

The Hong Kong government can now compel companies to take down online posts or accounts, and to share private user data.

If, for example, a company refuses to remove a social media post, police are able to seize and confiscate the Hong Kong-based servers that store the messages.

If the posts are stored on overseas servers, the police can ask internet service providers (ISPs), which control the internet connections between Hong Kong and the rest of the world, to block access to offending websites.
As Hong Kong businesses, ISPs will find it harder than foreign tech companies to reject requests, said Paul Haswell, a Hong Kong-based partner at law firm Pinsent Masons.
Mr Haswell predicted that while big tech companies will probably move servers out of Hong Kong, in the end their websites are likely to be blocked.
“Hong Kong authorities can now move up every link in the chain of how information goes from a server to your phone or laptop,” he said.

Under the new law, investigations into national security crimes can be deemed state secrets and any trials may be heard in closed court. Tech companies may be forbidden from disclosing what the police ask them for.
ISPs could be asked to provide information on who is using or downloading VPNs and cut their service if they continue to do so. 
To further clarify, Ms Chan posts a comment on her Facebook page that runs afoul of the security law.    The government approaches Facebook in Hong Kong and orders them to divulge the IP address and any other information they have on Ms Chan. 
Facebook refuses the request and as per the security law, has committed a criminal offence.  Facebook management in Hong Kong, and in head office, including Mr Zuckerberg, would also be complicit.    Their Hong Kong-based executives would be arrested and tried under the security law.
Mr Zuckerberg would be well advised to avoid any future excursions to Hong Kong as there would a a 'welcoming' committee waiting for him as he passed through airport immigration.
As pointed out, this is already what these tech giants face on the mainland and they have opted out of that market.   Pulling out of the Hong Kong market is a nothing burger for them in terms of revenue generation.  
On the positive side, I can slash my SEO budget to nothing!